Statistical analysis nerds rejoice, I’m gettin’ my Nate
Silver on.
A few weeks ago someone asked about the records of different
regions of the country. Not only have I kept track over the years, but I have
noticed that there are “eras of influence” belonging to different regions of
the country.
I broke the country into four regions of 12-13 states
each. The SOUTH has always been the
dominant region, but the other three regions have traded places in the Number 2
spot over the years. Interestingly, these eras tend to span 11 years and do NOT
line up with decades.
I chose my region groupings to ensure that the number of
states in each region was as equal as possible:
SOUTH: AL, AR, FL, GA, KY, LA, MS, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX, VA
MIDWEST: IL, IN, IA, KS, MI, MN, MO, NE, ND, OH, SD, WI
WEST: AK, AZ, CA, CO, HA, ID, MT, NV, NM, OR, UT, WA, WY
NORTHEAST: CT, DE, DC, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT,
WV
The first era ran from 1954 – 1966 (13 years long). It started with the
first televised pageant - won by Lee Meriwether - and culminated with Jane Jayroe’s
crowning in 1966.
The SOUTH was the strongest region during this era, averaging 3.9 of each year's Top
10 and 2.1 of each year’s Top 5, and ranged from only two in Top 10 in 1956 to a high of six in Top 10 in 1958.
Six Miss Americas from the SOUTH were crowned during this era, along
with five 1st RUs. ALABAMA made the Top 10 ten times in this era (but with only a single runner-up). This was also NORTH CAROLINA's best ever era, putting five women in Top 10, and four of those in Top 5 (including Maria Fletcher's win in 1961). ARKANSAS had Donna Axum's win and two 1st RUs. SOUTH CAROLINA also had its best-ever era while MISSISSIPPI had its two back-to-back wins.
The NORTHEAST averaged 1.1 in Top 10 and 0.5 in Top 5 (one every other year). The region put no one in Top 10 in 57, 61, 62, or 65, but had two Top 10s in five years. During this era, the NORTHEAST never produced more than one Top 5 in any single year (and in only 6 years total). The NORTHEAST produced two 1st RU during this era. The DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA had its best ever era, especially considering it only competed until 1963 and then went dormant until 1984. DC had four in Top 10 (including two 1st RUs) in ten years.
The year that best matches the era’s overall averages is 1955:
SOUTH-4 Top 10 & 2 Top 5 (NC-3rd RU, OK-4th
RU, AL-Top 10, FL-10)
WEST-4 Top 10 & 2 Top 5 (CO-WIN, OR-1st RU,
AZ-10, HA-10)
MIDWEST-1 Top 10 & 1Top 5 (Chicago-2nd RU)
NORTH-1 Top 10 & 0 Top 5 (MA-10)
States that dominated during this era were:
Alabama-10 Top 10 and one Top 5
California-9 Top 10 and 6 Top 5
Arizona-6 Top 10 and 4 made Top 5
Hawaii-6 Top 10 and 2 Top 5
North Carolina-5 Top 10 with 4 in Top 5
Florida-5 Top 10 and 3 Top 5
Texas-5 Top 10 and 3 Top 5
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